Sore Thumb Resource pack Run the numbers
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ROI and growth map calculator

Set your enquiry target and how tightly we screen. It returns the ad spend required, the officer hours it needs, and the cost per funded loan, plus a 6 or 12 month growth map.

How to read this

Which numbers are ours and which are yours

Cost per enquiry and the qualified rate are ours, so they are fixed. Close rate and commission are yours, so they are editable. The baseline is $45 per enquiry at the standard screen, with each tighter screen adding roughly 35%. That band is where our own live accounts sit, and the one mortgage account we have run came down from $65 to $24 an enquiry by month three.

The headline is cost per funded loanCost per lead is an input. The number that decides whether you keep spending is what a funded file costs you, all in, including our fee. That is the big number below and it is the number we report against every month.
Step 1 and 2

Your inputs

Step 1 · your target

An enquiry is a borrower who finished the funnel and consented to contact. Not a click.
Cost per enquiry at this screen: $45

Step 2 · your economics

Funded loans as a share of the qualified conversations your officers actually hold. This is your number, not ours.
Your product mix, your split. Put in what the brokerage keeps, not the gross.
Share of enquiries that pass the screen and hold a real conversation. Held by our funnel and the AI follow up, so it is not editable. Our fee of $2,333 a month is included in every all in figure below.
Cost per funded loan
$0
Monthly ad spend
$0
Qualified conversations
0
Officers needed
0
Funded loans
0
Commission written
$0
Cost per funded, ads only
$0
Net after ad spend and fee
$0
Break even
0
Step 3

Your growth map

While the account is profitable, spend steps up each month and volume compounds. Pick the increase and the horizon. Nothing here assumes your close rate improves, and nothing here assumes we get cheaper.

Bars are commission written per month at the inputs above.

Final month ad spend
$0
Final month enquiries
0
Commission over the horizon
$0
Cumulative net
$0
MonthAd spendEnquiriesQualifiedFundedCommissionCumulative net
Honest limits

What this model does not do

  • It does not forecast. Every output moves with the numbers you typed in.
  • It assumes your officers can work the volume. Watch the officers needed figure, not just the spend.
  • It assumes one funded loan is worth the commission you entered, flat, with no seasonality.
  • It ignores your own costs: officer pay, processing, lender fees and everything downstream of the conversation.
  • Month one is never the steady state. Learning, creative testing and the first screen adjustments happen there.
  • A 30% monthly spend increase is aggressive. We would not run it without the funded numbers holding for three months first.